Sakaryaspor vs Ümraniyespor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sakaryaspor v Ümraniyespor — Team-Based Signals
Sakaryaspor vs Ümraniyespor Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Ümraniyespor
T1L
Sakaryaspor 1-1 Ümraniyespor — Actual Match Statistics
Sakaryaspor and Ümraniyespor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sakaryaspor at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Sakaryaspor had 61% of the ball to Ümraniyespor's 39%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.13 to 2.38.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ümraniyespor led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Sakaryaspor and 1.25 for Ümraniyespor.
What was the final score of Sakaryaspor vs Ümraniyespor?
Sakaryaspor 1-1 Ümraniyespor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sakaryaspor vs Ümraniyespor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sakaryaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sakaryaspor 59%, draw 22%, Ümraniyespor 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sakaryaspor) went the other way.