Erzurumspor FK 4-0 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 28% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.72
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
19.1
X/1 EV+ ✗
29%
3.74
X/2
5%
15.0
X/X
8%
5.89
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
5%
13.75
2/X
5%
22.25
Value flag · X/1 at 3.74 — our 29% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
66%
+1.2pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.2pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.3pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.50/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/2.47
-13% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
388 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
19.8 Crosses 13.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzurumspor FK
2W-0D-4L
AWAY İstanbulspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.56 xG 1.63
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
265 Passes 276
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2025 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-2 HT 0-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
27.02.2025 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 0-3 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TÜK
14.12.2024 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 3-2 HT 1-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
29.05.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
25.05.2022 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 2-4 HT 0-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
24.04.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzurumspor FK
4-0
AWAY İstanbulspor
3.44 xG 0.45
56% Ball Possession 44%
23 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
422 Passes 334
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
42 Box Touches 13
38 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Erzurumspor FK vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzurumspor FK swept aside İstanbulspor 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Erzurumspor FK as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Erzurumspor FK had 56% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 44%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 3.44 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İstanbulspor led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Erzurumspor FK and 2.17 for İstanbulspor.

What was the final score of Erzurumspor FK vs İstanbulspor?

Erzurumspor FK 4-0 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzurumspor FK vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Erzurumspor FK 67%, draw 18%, İstanbulspor 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erzurumspor FK), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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