Keçiörengücü 1-2 Iğdır FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.36
6+ Goals
9%
12.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.16
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
9%
12.95
X/1 EV+ ✗
20%
5.2
X/2
9%
6.62
X/X
9%
4.85
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
16%
4.59
2/X
6%
13.4
Value flag · X/1 at 5.2 — our 20% vs market 15.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Iğdır FK EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.17/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.28
+13% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
19.0 Crosses 11.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keçiörengücü
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Iğdır FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 1.45
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
250 Passes 344
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 Iğdır FK Iğdır FK 3-0 HT 1-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
22.09.2024 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 2-0 HT 2-0 Iğdır FK Iğdır FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keçiörengücü
1-2
AWAY Iğdır FK
1.27 xG 1.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
369 Passes 332
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iğdır FK squeezed past Keçiörengücü 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Keçiörengücü at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Keçiörengücü had 53% of the ball to Iğdır FK's 47%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.27 to 1.83.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Keçiörengücü and 1.50 for Iğdır FK.

What was the final score of Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK?

Keçiörengücü 1-2 Iğdır FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keçiörengücü win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Keçiörengücü 46%, draw 24%, Iğdır FK 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Keçiörengücü), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Keçiörengücü) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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