Gaziantep FK 1-2 Eyüpspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 30% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.7
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1 EV+ ✗
24%
4.93
X/2
9%
7.69
X/X
8%
5.18
2/1
6%
23.1
2/2
12%
5.38
2/X
11%
13.55
Value flag · X/1 at 4.93 — our 24% vs market 16.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+2.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 31%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -22%
1.59/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.33
+2% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
18.6 Crosses 15.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Eyüpspor
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.10 xG 1.58
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
246 Passes 332
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.03.2025 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 3-1 HT 0-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor TSL
29.09.2024 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 3-2 HT 1-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
1-2
AWAY Eyüpspor
1.22 xG 3.42
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
13 Corners 6
319 Passes 206
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 28
31 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Eyüpspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eyüpspor nicked a narrow win over Gaziantep FK 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gaziantep FK at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 59% of the ball to Eyüpspor's 41%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.22 to 3.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Eyüpspor's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Gaziantep FK and 2.00 for Eyüpspor.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Eyüpspor?

Gaziantep FK 1-2 Eyüpspor in the Turkey - Super League on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Eyüpspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gaziantep FK win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 49%, draw 26%, Eyüpspor 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gaziantep FK), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gaziantep FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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