Çaykur Rizespor 0-1 Kayserispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.88
6+ Goals
12%
8.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.48
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
17%
4.81
X/2
8%
8.32
X/X
13%
5.66
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.4
2/2
10%
5.77
2/X
6%
13.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.4 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.7pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.79/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.50
+4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
20.5 Crosses 17.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kayserispor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.42 xG 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
321 Passes 331
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2025 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
01.12.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 3-0 HT 1-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
02.03.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 3-0 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
21.10.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 3-1 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
15.04.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-1 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
27.11.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
0-1
AWAY Kayserispor
1.70 xG 0.64
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
447 Passes 287
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 18
35 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs Kayserispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kayserispor squeezed past Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Çaykur Rizespor at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 59% of the ball to Kayserispor's 41%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.70 to 0.64 — on chances, Çaykur Rizespor could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Çaykur Rizespor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 0.83 for Kayserispor.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs Kayserispor?

Çaykur Rizespor 0-1 Kayserispor in the Turkey - Super League on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs Kayserispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çaykur Rizespor win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 51%, draw 24%, Kayserispor 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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