Kasımpaşa 1-3 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.32
6+ Goals
11%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.59
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
11%
6.66
X/2
12%
5.21
X/X
10%
4.9
2/1
5%
31.0
2/2
22%
3.14
2/X
8%
12.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.41/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.07
+8% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +28%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
309 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 84%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
20.4 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kasımpaşa
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Başakşehir FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
1.08 xG 2.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
320 Passes 333
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-3 HT 1-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
23.12.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-2 HT 2-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
05.05.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 4-1 HT 2-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
09.01.2024 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 0-3 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
21.01.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-3 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
08.08.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 4-0 HT 2-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kasımpaşa
1-3
AWAY Başakşehir FK
1.29 xG 1.39
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 3
264 Passes 298
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 12
39 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kasımpaşa vs Başakşehir FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK beat Kasımpaşa 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Başakşehir FK as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Kasımpaşa had 51% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 49%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.29 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kasımpaşa and 3.17 for Başakşehir FK.

What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Başakşehir FK?

Kasımpaşa 1-3 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Super League on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kasımpaşa vs Başakşehir FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 33%, draw 25%, Başakşehir FK 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Başakşehir FK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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