Leyton Orient 2-0 Cambridge United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.78
Over
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No Pick
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.89
2-3
37%
1.72
4-5
22%
3.63
6+
10%
15.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.89 — our 31% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.1
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.2
X/1
18%
3.76
X/2
6%
10.7
X/X
8%
4.94
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
12%
8.98
2/X
7%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-2.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.4pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.9pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -15%
1.76/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.43
+2% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
357 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 69%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
20.7 Crosses 16.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leyton Orient
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Cambridge United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.61 xG 1.26
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
301 Passes 224
70% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.01.2024 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-2 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
26.08.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
20.04.2021 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-4 HT 1-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2
26.12.2020 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-1 HT 0-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
07.03.2020 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-1 HT 2-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2
21.12.2019 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-3 HT 0-3 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leyton Orient
2-0
AWAY Cambridge United
2.20 xG 0.52
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
288 Passes 208
73% Pass Accuracy 63%
33 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leyton Orient vs Cambridge United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient beat Cambridge United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leyton Orient as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Leyton Orient had 54% of the ball to Cambridge United's 46%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 2.20 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leyton Orient had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Leyton Orient and 1.50 for Cambridge United.

What was the final score of Leyton Orient vs Cambridge United?

Leyton Orient 2-0 Cambridge United in the England - 1st Division on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leyton Orient vs Cambridge United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leyton Orient win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Leyton Orient 56%, draw 21%, Cambridge United 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leyton Orient), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leyton Orient) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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