Cambridge United 0-2 Leyton Orient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 1 Jan 2024

📅01/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.67
Over
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.54
2-3
40%
1.75
4-5
22%
4.48
6+
9%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.63
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
4%
13.4
X/1
12%
5.07
X/2
14%
5.69
X/X
17%
3.87
2/1
9%
32.0
2/2
18%
4.27
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-4.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.15/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.23
-16% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
265 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 66%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
19.8 Crosses 20.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambridge United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Leyton Orient
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.33 xG 1.82
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
220 Passes 308
67% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
20.04.2021 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-4 HT 1-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2
26.12.2020 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-1 HT 0-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
07.03.2020 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-1 HT 2-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2
21.12.2019 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-3 HT 0-3 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
08.04.2017 Cambridge United Cambridge United 3-0 HT 2-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambridge United
0-2
AWAY Leyton Orient
0.89 xG 0.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
241 Passes 265
62% Pass Accuracy 64%
19 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cambridge United vs Leyton Orient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient beat Cambridge United 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Leyton Orient made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cambridge United had 49% of the ball to Leyton Orient's 51%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.89 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cambridge United and 1.67 for Leyton Orient.

What was the final score of Cambridge United vs Leyton Orient?

Cambridge United 0-2 Leyton Orient in the England - 1st Division on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambridge United vs Leyton Orient?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leyton Orient win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cambridge United 33%, draw 29%, Leyton Orient 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leyton Orient), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leyton Orient) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
1 Jan 2024
18:00 Portsmouth vs Stevenage Analysis →
18:00 Shrewsbury vs Fleetwood Town Analysis →
18:00 Barnsley vs Wigan Athletic Analysis →
18:00 Derby County vs Peterborough United Analysis →
18:00 Wycombe Wanderers vs Bristol Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Charlton Athletic vs Oxford United Analysis →