Shrewsbury 1-1 Northampton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Dec 2024

Shrewsbury
1-1 HT 0-0
Northampton Town
📅29/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Shrewsbury vs Northampton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.28
6+ Goals
9%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.6
X/1
17%
4.24
X/2
9%
7.36
X/X
14%
4.15
2/1
11%
28.5
2/2
13%
6.05
2/X
5%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shrewsbury v Northampton Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.18/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.28
-1% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
278 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 67%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
20.9 Crosses 15.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Shrewsbury vs Northampton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shrewsbury
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Northampton Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.13 xG 0.95
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
242 Passes 223
65% Pass Accuracy 62%
20 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.01.2024 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
07.10.2023 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-0 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
02.04.2021 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
19.09.2020 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-2 HT 0-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
20.03.2018 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
05.08.2017 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-0 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1

Shrewsbury 1-1 Northampton Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shrewsbury
1-1
AWAY Northampton Town
0.79 xG 1.24
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
151 Passes 133
56% Pass Accuracy 53%
10 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shrewsbury vs Northampton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shrewsbury and Northampton Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Shrewsbury at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Shrewsbury had 52% of the ball to Northampton Town's 48%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.79 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shrewsbury had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shrewsbury and 0.67 for Northampton Town.

What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Northampton Town?

Shrewsbury 1-1 Northampton Town in the England - 1st Division on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shrewsbury vs Northampton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shrewsbury win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 43%, draw 30%, Northampton Town 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shrewsbury), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shrewsbury) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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