Farense vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Farense v Vitoria Guimaraes — Team-Based Signals
Farense vs Vitoria Guimaraes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
2-2
HT 2-1
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
2-2
HT 2-1
Farense
POR
2-2
HT 2-1
Farense
POR
3-1
HT 1-1
Farense
POR
Farense 2-2 Vitoria Guimaraes — Actual Match Statistics
Farense and Vitoria Guimaraes couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 41%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Farense had 33% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes's 67%, shots finished 6-27, expected goals 0.35 to 2.97.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Farense and 2.00 for Vitoria Guimaraes.
What was the final score of Farense vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Farense 2-2 Vitoria Guimaraes in the Portugal - Premier League on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Farense vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Before kick-off our model rated an Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Farense 36%, draw 23%, Vitoria Guimaraes 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.