Sporting Braga vs Casa Pia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Braga v Casa Pia — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Braga vs Casa Pia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-0
Sporting Braga
POR
1-1
HT 0-0
Casa Pia
PORLC
0-1
HT 0-0
Sporting Braga
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Sporting Braga
PORLC
0-1
HT 0-1
Casa Pia
POR
Sporting Braga 1-2 Casa Pia — Actual Match Statistics
Casa Pia nicked a narrow win over Sporting Braga 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Sporting Braga at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Sporting Braga had 60% of the ball to Casa Pia's 40%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.05 to 1.45.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sporting Braga and 1.00 for Casa Pia.
What was the final score of Sporting Braga vs Casa Pia?
Sporting Braga 1-2 Casa Pia in the Portugal - Premier League on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Braga vs Casa Pia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga 52%, draw 27%, Casa Pia 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.