Sporting CP vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting CP v Benfica — Team-Based Signals
Sporting CP vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Sporting CP
POR
2-2
HT 2-0
Benfica
POR
2-2
HT 1-1
Sporting CP
POR
Sporting CP 1-0 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting CP nicked a narrow win over Benfica 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Sporting CP had 45% of the ball to Benfica's 55%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.20 to 0.78.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sporting CP and 1.67 for Benfica.
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Benfica?
Sporting CP 1-0 Benfica in the Portugal - Premier League on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Benfica?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 45%, draw 25%, Benfica 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.