Sporting CP vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting CP v Benfica — Team-Based Signals
Sporting CP vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Sporting CP
POR
2-2
HT 2-0
Benfica
POR
2-2
HT 1-1
Sporting CP
POR
0-2
HT 0-1
Benfica
POR
Sporting CP 2-1 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting CP squeezed past Benfica 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Sporting CP had 50% of the ball to Benfica's 50%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.96 to 1.32.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sporting CP and 1.83 for Benfica.
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Benfica?
Sporting CP 2-1 Benfica in the Portugal - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Benfica?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 47%, draw 26%, Benfica 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.