Gillingham 1-1 Colchester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 29 Dec 2025

📅29/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.71
Over
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.7
2-3
42%
1.74
4-5
19%
3.99
6+
9%
18.95
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.7 — our 30% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.96
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
21%
5.65
X/2
10%
5.65
X/X
10%
4.23
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
12%
3.96
2/X
11%
13.5
Value flag · X/1 at 5.65 — our 21% vs market 13.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Gillingham The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Colchester The Market 39%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.21 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.11
0.95 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.37
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Average
Great Defensevs comparable teams Strong
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
224 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
21.3 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gillingham
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Colchester
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.21 xG 1.44
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
265 Passes 273
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2025 Colchester Colchester 0-0 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
07.10.2025 Colchester Colchester 2-1 HT 0-1 Gillingham Gillingham İNTK
01.04.2025 Gillingham Gillingham 1-1 HT 0-1 Colchester Colchester İN2
26.12.2024 Colchester Colchester 2-0 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
01.01.2024 Colchester Colchester 0-1 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
26.08.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 0-3 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gillingham
1-1
AWAY Colchester
0.98 xG 1.41
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
159 Passes 240
63% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 29
27 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Gillingham vs Colchester
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Gillingham and Colchester finished all square at 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gillingham at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (58%) came home.

Under the surface, Colchester saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 0.98 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colchester led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Gillingham against 1.33 for Colchester.

Gillingham vs Colchester Result & Final Score

Gillingham 1-1 Colchester in the England - 2nd Division on 29/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Gillingham vs Colchester Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 43%, draw 28%, Colchester 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gillingham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gillingham) ✓ Under 2.5
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