Welling United 2-1 Hampton & Richmond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 30 Jan 2024

Welling United
2-1 HT 0-1
Hampton & Richmond
📅30/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2023/2024

Welling United vs Hampton & Richmond Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.21
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 30% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.9pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Welling United v Hampton & Richmond — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welling United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Hampton & Richmond EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.00/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.61
-30% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Welling United vs Hampton & Richmond Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welling United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hampton & Richmond
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
25.04.2023 Welling United Welling United 3-0 HT 0-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
08.10.2022 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 1-1 HT 0-1 Welling United Welling United İCON
15.03.2022 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 2-1 HT 1-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
26.10.2021 Welling United Welling United 2-3 HT 2-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
11.02.2020 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 1-1 HT 1-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
12.10.2019 Welling United Welling United 0-1 HT 0-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON

Welling United 2-1 Hampton & Richmond — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welling United
2-1
AWAY Hampton & Richmond
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Welling United vs Hampton & Richmond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welling United nicked a narrow win over Hampton & Richmond 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Welling United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Welling United had 51% of the ball to Hampton & Richmond's 49%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hampton & Richmond led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Welling United and 1.33 for Hampton & Richmond.

What was the final score of Welling United vs Hampton & Richmond?

Welling United 2-1 Hampton & Richmond in the England - Conference on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welling United vs Hampton & Richmond?

Before kick-off our model rated a Welling United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Welling United 38%, draw 29%, Hampton & Richmond 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Welling United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Welling United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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