Arandina 1-1 Pontevedra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
48%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.78
Over 2.5
56%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
20%
+9.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
47%
Away Win
56%
-8.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
52%
-8.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
48%
+8.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arandina EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 59%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.14
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -25%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
180 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 486 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arandina
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pontevedra
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
19.11.2023 Pontevedra Pontevedra 2-0 HT 2-0 Arandina Arandina İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arandina
1-1
AWAY Pontevedra
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arandina vs Pontevedra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arandina and Pontevedra shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pontevedra at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arandina had 45% of the ball to Pontevedra's 55%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of Arandina vs Pontevedra?

Arandina 1-1 Pontevedra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arandina vs Pontevedra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Arandina 29%, draw 23%, Pontevedra 47%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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