Athletic Bilbao II 2-1 CD Calahorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.8pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Calahorra EU Bookmakers 21%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.18/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.48
+39% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +150%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
393 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CD Calahorra
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.11.2023 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra 0-1 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS4
05.03.2023 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 2-3 HT 2-2 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra İS3
02.10.2022 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra 1-2 HT 1-1 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
08.05.2022 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 1-3 HT 0-2 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra İS3
09.01.2022 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra 1-1 HT 1-1 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
25.04.2021 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra 2-1 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
2-1
AWAY CD Calahorra
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao II vs CD Calahorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao II squeezed past CD Calahorra 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Athletic Bilbao II as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao II had 60% of the ball to CD Calahorra's 40%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Calahorra led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Athletic Bilbao II and 1.67 for CD Calahorra.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao II vs CD Calahorra?

Athletic Bilbao II 2-1 CD Calahorra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao II vs CD Calahorra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao II 52%, draw 25%, CD Calahorra 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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