Numancia 1-0 Union Adarve — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Numancia EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Adarve EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.74/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.38
+11% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
338 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Numancia
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Union Adarve
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
19.11.2023 Union Adarve Union Adarve 1-1 HT 0-0 Numancia Numancia İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Numancia
1-0
AWAY Union Adarve
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Numancia vs Union Adarve
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Numancia nicked a narrow win over Union Adarve 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Numancia as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Numancia had 62% of the ball to Union Adarve's 38%, shots finished 12-20.

What was the final score of Numancia vs Union Adarve?

Numancia 1-0 Union Adarve in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Numancia vs Union Adarve?

Before kick-off our model rated a Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Numancia 53%, draw 24%, Union Adarve 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Numancia), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Numancia) ✓ Under 2.5
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