Genoa 1-1 Frosinone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 30 Mar 2024

Genoa
1-1 HT 1-1
Frosinone
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Genoa vs Frosinone Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.83
6+ Goals
9%
16.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.55
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.1
X/1
20%
4.18
X/2
8%
7.86
X/X
13%
4.57
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
10%
6.16
2/X
5%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Genoa v Frosinone — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genoa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.34/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.59
-11% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
21.5 Crosses 15.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Genoa vs Frosinone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genoa
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Frosinone
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.20 xG 1.16
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
361 Passes 335
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Frosinone Frosinone 2-1 HT 1-1 Genoa Genoa İTA
13.05.2023 Frosinone Frosinone 3-2 HT 2-1 Genoa Genoa İTB
18.12.2022 Genoa Genoa 1-0 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
03.03.2019 Genoa Genoa 0-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTA
30.09.2018 Frosinone Frosinone 1-2 HT 1-2 Genoa Genoa İTA
03.04.2016 Genoa Genoa 4-0 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTA

Genoa 1-1 Frosinone — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genoa
1-1
AWAY Frosinone
1.48 xG 0.82
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
291 Passes 325
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Genoa vs Frosinone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genoa and Frosinone shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Genoa at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Genoa had 48% of the ball to Frosinone's 52%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.48 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genoa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Genoa and 1.00 for Frosinone.

What was the final score of Genoa vs Frosinone?

Genoa 1-1 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie A on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genoa vs Frosinone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Genoa 48%, draw 26%, Frosinone 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Genoa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genoa) ✓ Under 2.5
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