Torino 1-0 Monza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 30 Mar 2024

Torino
1-0 HT 0-0
Monza
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.51
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.72
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.6
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
11%
4.06
X/2
9%
8.04
X/X
16%
4.0
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
9%
6.79
2/X
11%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.1pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.5pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torino EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +28%
1.39/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.23
-17% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.3 Crosses 13.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torino
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Monza
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.34 xG 1.07
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
383 Passes 345
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.11.2023 Monza Monza 1-1 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
07.05.2023 Torino Torino 1-1 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTA
28.12.2022 Monza Monza 1-4 HT 0-2 Torino Torino HAZ
13.08.2022 Monza Monza 1-2 HT 0-1 Torino Torino İTA
04.03.2001 Torino Torino 2-1 HT 1-1 Monza Monza İTB
08.10.2000 Monza Monza 2-3 HT 0-1 Torino Torino İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torino
1-0
AWAY Monza
1.57 xG 0.77
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
493 Passes 276
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torino vs Monza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torino squeezed past Monza 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Torino as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Torino had 62% of the ball to Monza's 38%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.57 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torino had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Torino and 1.17 for Monza.

What was the final score of Torino vs Monza?

Torino 1-0 Monza in the Italy - Serie A on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torino vs Monza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torino win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Torino 42%, draw 33%, Monza 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torino), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
30 Mar 2024
14:30 Napoli vs Atalanta Analysis →
17:00 Genoa vs Frosinone Analysis →
20:00 Lazio vs Juventus Analysis →
22:45 Fiorentina vs Milan Analysis →