Atletico Tigre 1-4 Belgrano Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.03
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.91
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.2
X/1
13%
5.15
X/2
8%
5.35
X/X
12%
3.78
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
20%
4.12
2/X
7%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.21/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.99
-27% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +65%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
21.2 Crosses 17.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tigre
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.80 xG 0.42
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
278 Passes 279
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2023 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 0-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
25.02.2023 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
25.07.2021 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 0-0 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJPBN
14.03.2021 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJPBN
11.12.2018 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
23.09.2017 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tigre
1-4
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba
0.78 xG 1.90
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
282 Passes 241
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Tigre vs Belgrano Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belgrano Cordoba swept aside Atletico Tigre 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Belgrano Cordoba found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Tigre had 54% of the ball to Belgrano Cordoba's 46%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.78 to 1.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Tigre had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Tigre and 0.50 for Belgrano Cordoba.

What was the final score of Atletico Tigre vs Belgrano Cordoba?

Atletico Tigre 1-4 Belgrano Cordoba in the Argentina - Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tigre vs Belgrano Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tigre win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tigre 37%, draw 28%, Belgrano Cordoba 35%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Tigre) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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