Huracan 1-0 River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.95
No
60%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.22
6+ Goals
8%
20.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 35% vs market 30.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.79
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
9%
14.6
X/1
12%
7.2
X/2
20%
4.29
X/X
10%
4.17
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.8
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-3.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.3pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huracan EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY River Plate EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
0.98/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.13
-34% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
244 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
22.8 Crosses 18.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huracan
2W-1D-3L
AWAY River Plate
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.15 xG 1.98
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
174 Passes 464
63% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 River Plate River Plate 1-2 HT 0-0 Huracan Huracan ARJ
10.04.2023 Huracan Huracan 0-3 HT 0-2 River Plate River Plate ARJ
04.07.2022 Huracan Huracan 3-2 HT 1-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
02.08.2021 River Plate River Plate 1-1 HT 0-0 Huracan Huracan ARJ
21.12.2020 Huracan Huracan 1-3 HT 0-2 River Plate River Plate ARJ
15.09.2019 Huracan Huracan 0-4 HT 0-3 River Plate River Plate ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huracan
1-0
AWAY River Plate
0.61 xG 1.18
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 5
184 Passes 469
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Huracan vs River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huracan nicked a narrow win over River Plate 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was River Plate at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Huracan had 32% of the ball to River Plate's 68%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.61 to 1.18 — the balance of chances actually favoured River Plate.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Huracan and 2.33 for River Plate.

What was the final score of Huracan vs River Plate?

Huracan 1-0 River Plate in the Argentina - Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huracan vs River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated an River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Huracan 27%, draw 27%, River Plate 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (River Plate) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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