Balcatta 2-2 Perth Glory II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.4pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Balcatta EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory II EU Bookmakers 46%
-14% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.83/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/1.59
-48% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Balcatta
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Perth Glory II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.06.2023 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 1-3 HT 0-1 Balcatta Balcatta AVNPL
18.03.2023 Balcatta Balcatta 1-2 HT 0-0 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVNPL
30.07.2022 Balcatta Balcatta 3-0 HT 2-0 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVNPL
06.05.2022 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 1-0 HT 0-0 Balcatta Balcatta AVNPL
28.08.2021 Balcatta Balcatta 3-3 HT 1-2 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVUSB
08.05.2021 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 3-0 HT 2-0 Balcatta Balcatta AVUSB
POST-MATCH Balcatta vs Perth Glory II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Balcatta and Perth Glory II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Perth Glory II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perth Glory II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Balcatta and 1.67 for Perth Glory II.

What was the final score of Balcatta vs Perth Glory II?

Balcatta 2-2 Perth Glory II in the Australia - National Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Balcatta vs Perth Glory II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Perth Glory II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Balcatta 29%, draw 28%, Perth Glory II 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Perth Glory II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Perth Glory II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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