Western Sydney W. II 4-2 St. George Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
67%
-3.5pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.6pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+2.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney W. II EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY St. George Saints EU Bookmakers 18%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.03/3.93
-8% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -97% / -46%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Western Sydney W. II vs St. George Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Sydney W. II got the better of St. George Saints 4-2. Half-time: 3-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Western Sydney W. II as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Western Sydney W. II vs St. George Saints?

Western Sydney W. II 4-2 St. George Saints in the Australia - National Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney W. II vs St. George Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Sydney W. II win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney W. II 63%, draw 19%, St. George Saints 18%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western Sydney W. II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Western Sydney W. II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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