Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Osasuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.1
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
15.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.88
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
17.3
X/1
13%
3.85
X/2
5%
12.6
X/X
10%
5.44
2/1
11%
24.65
2/2
8%
11.2
2/X
8%
19.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-6.0pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna EU Bookmakers 18%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.62/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.36
-10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
392 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
25.6 Crosses 18.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Osasuna
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.64 xG 1.02
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
384 Passes 304
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.01.2025 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 2-3 HT 1-2 Osasuna Osasuna İSPK
21.12.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 1-2 HT 1-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
11.05.2024 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 2-2 HT 0-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
19.08.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 0-2 HT 0-2 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
25.05.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 2-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
04.04.2023 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 1-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna Osasuna İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao
0-0
AWAY Osasuna
0.70 xG 0.36
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
461 Passes 248
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Athletic Bilbao at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao had 62% of the ball to Osasuna's 38%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 0.70 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 1.50 for Osasuna.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna?

Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 57%, draw 25%, Osasuna 18%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) ✓ BTTS No
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