RB Leipzig (K) 1-1 Freiburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 30 Mar 2025

RB Leipzig (K)
1-1 HT 0-1
Freiburg (K)
📅30/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2024/2025

RB Leipzig (K) vs Freiburg (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+4.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-12.0pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RB Leipzig (K) v Freiburg (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
0.94/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/1.28
+79% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
8.0 Crosses 9.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

RB Leipzig (K) vs Freiburg (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RB Leipzig (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Freiburg (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.22 xG 2.58
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
278 Passes 306
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.10.2024 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 4-1 HT 1-0 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) ALKB
27.01.2024 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB

RB Leipzig (K) 1-1 Freiburg (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig (K)
1-1
AWAY Freiburg (K)
1.50 xG 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
395 Passes 357
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig (K) vs Freiburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig (K) and Freiburg (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was RB Leipzig (K) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RB Leipzig (K) had 52% of the ball to Freiburg (K)'s 48%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.50 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Freiburg (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for RB Leipzig (K) and 3.00 for Freiburg (K).

What was the final score of RB Leipzig (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

RB Leipzig (K) 1-1 Freiburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig (K) 42%, draw 26%, Freiburg (K) 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (RB Leipzig (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RB Leipzig (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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