Bremer SV 3-2 Phönix Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+1.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-5.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.8pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bremer SV EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.83/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/1.17
+36% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bremer SV
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Phönix Lübeck
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
29.09.2024 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 2-1 HT 1-0 Bremer SV Bremer SV ALMBÖL
18.11.2023 Bremer SV Bremer SV 0-5 HT 0-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
16.04.2023 Bremer SV Bremer SV 1-0 HT 1-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
09.10.2022 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 2-2 HT 0-1 Bremer SV Bremer SV ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bremer SV vs Phönix Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bremer SV nicked a narrow win over Phönix Lübeck 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Bremer SV found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Phönix Lübeck led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bremer SV and 2.25 for Phönix Lübeck.

What was the final score of Bremer SV vs Phönix Lübeck?

Bremer SV 3-2 Phönix Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bremer SV vs Phönix Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated an Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bremer SV 33%, draw 28%, Phönix Lübeck 39%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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