Altglienicke 2-1 Chemie Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.4pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.3pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altglienicke EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 26%
-11% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
1.77/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.15
+0% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altglienicke
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 0-3 HT 0-1 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
15.03.2024 Altglienicke Altglienicke 4-0 HT 3-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
29.09.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 0-3 HT 0-1 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
03.02.2023 Altglienicke Altglienicke 4-0 HT 3-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
13.08.2022 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-2 HT 1-0 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
29.04.2022 Altglienicke Altglienicke 2-3 HT 1-2 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Altglienicke vs Chemie Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altglienicke edged past Chemie Leipzig 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Altglienicke as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altglienicke had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Altglienicke and 0.67 for Chemie Leipzig.

What was the final score of Altglienicke vs Chemie Leipzig?

Altglienicke 2-1 Chemie Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altglienicke vs Chemie Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altglienicke win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Altglienicke 46%, draw 33%, Chemie Leipzig 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Altglienicke), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Altglienicke) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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