St. Pauli II 4-0 Todesfelde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.9pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Todesfelde EU Bookmakers 29%
-19% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
1.22/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-31% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Todesfelde
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
28.09.2024 Todesfelde 2-4 HT 1-2 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH St. Pauli II vs Todesfelde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli II cruised past Todesfelde 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had St. Pauli II as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

What was the final score of St. Pauli II vs Todesfelde?

St. Pauli II 4-0 Todesfelde in the Germany - Regional League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli II vs Todesfelde?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli II 44%, draw 30%, Todesfelde 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pauli II), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Pauli II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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