Todesfelde 2-4 St. Pauli II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Todesfelde EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 34%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.42
+24% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
POST-MATCH Todesfelde vs St. Pauli II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli II beat Todesfelde 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; St. Pauli II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Todesfelde vs St. Pauli II?

Todesfelde 2-4 St. Pauli II in the Germany - Regional League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Todesfelde vs St. Pauli II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Todesfelde win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Todesfelde 39%, draw 30%, St. Pauli II 30%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Todesfelde), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Todesfelde) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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