Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-1 Tristan Suarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
27%
2.83
Away
36%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.33
No
66%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
32%
-5.0pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+9.9pp
34%
BTTS Yes
39%
-4.5pp
66%
BTTS No
61%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Y Tiro EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
0.90/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.48
-20% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Y Tiro and Tristan Suarez couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez?

Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-1 Tristan Suarez in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Y Tiro win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Y Tiro 37%, draw 27%, Tristan Suarez 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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