Melbourne Knights 3-1 St. Albans Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.23
Over 2.5
63%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.0pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Albans Saints EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.88/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/2.68
+11% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -44%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.1 Crosses 20.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Knights
4W-2D-0L
AWAY St. Albans Saints
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.03 xG 0.77
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
328 Passes 200
76% Pass Accuracy 64%
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
09.06.2024 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 1-2 HT 0-1 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
03.03.2024 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 3-0 HT 2-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
19.05.2023 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 4-1 HT 2-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
19.02.2023 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 1-1 HT 1-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
24.06.2022 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
27.03.2022 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-2 HT 0-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Melbourne Knights vs St. Albans Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Knights saw off St. Albans Saints 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and on the day Melbourne Knights made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne Knights had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Melbourne Knights and 0.67 for St. Albans Saints.

What was the final score of Melbourne Knights vs St. Albans Saints?

Melbourne Knights 3-1 St. Albans Saints in the Australia - National Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Knights vs St. Albans Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Albans Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Knights 38%, draw 23%, St. Albans Saints 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Albans Saints) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Albans Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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