APIA Leichhardt Tigers 4-3 Rockdale Ilinden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.33
No
42%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.5pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
71%
-13.7pp
42%
BTTS No
29%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 43%
+11% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.59/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.59
+8% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -41%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses 19.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.82 xG 0.91
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
320 Passes 294
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.07.2024 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-1 HT 0-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
21.04.2024 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-2 HT 2-1 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
28.05.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 1-2 HT 1-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
12.02.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 6-0 HT 3-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
04.06.2022 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-0 HT 2-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
20.03.2022 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-1 HT 1-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Rockdale Ilinden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers squeezed past Rockdale Ilinden 4-3. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; APIA Leichhardt Tigers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 1.17 for Rockdale Ilinden.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Rockdale Ilinden?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 4-3 Rockdale Ilinden in the Australia - National Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Rockdale Ilinden?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 37%, draw 28%, Rockdale Ilinden 35%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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