Central Coast Mariners (K) 2-1 Brisbane Roar (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒09:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.27
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
40%
-12.6pp
34%
Draw
25%
+9.1pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 38%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.67/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/1.48
-47% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +131% / -38%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
15.4 Crosses 18.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.76 xG 1.35
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
313 Passes 343
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2024 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW
09.03.2024 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW
12.11.2023 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
2-1
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
0.76 xG 1.24
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
238 Passes 258
67% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 16
7 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners (K) squeezed past Brisbane Roar (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 34% / 38% — and on the day Central Coast Mariners (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners (K) had 48% of the ball to Brisbane Roar (K)'s 52%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.76 to 1.24 — the balance of chances actually favoured Brisbane Roar (K).

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Central Coast Mariners (K) and 1.00 for Brisbane Roar (K).

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Central Coast Mariners (K) 2-1 Brisbane Roar (K) in the Australia - W-League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brisbane Roar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners (K) 28%, draw 34%, Brisbane Roar (K) 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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30 Mar 2025
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