Zira 3-0 Shamakhi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.2pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.82/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.53
-5% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Shamakhi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
63% Ball Possession 37%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.01.2025 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-2 HT 1-1 Zira Zira AZERS
04.12.2024 Zira Zira 3-1 HT 2-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERK
02.11.2024 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-2 HT 0-1 Zira Zira AZERS
25.08.2024 Zira Zira 0-1 HT 0-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
06.05.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-3 HT 0-1 Zira Zira AZERS
03.03.2023 Zira Zira 2-2 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Shamakhi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira ran out comfortable winners over Shamakhi 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zira and 0.83 for Shamakhi.

What was the final score of Zira vs Shamakhi?

Zira 3-0 Shamakhi in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Shamakhi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Zira 54%, draw 25%, Shamakhi 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
30 Mar 2025
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