Neman Grodno 0-1 Gomel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.45
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.4
No
52%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.16
6+ Goals
10%
20.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Neman Grodno win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
65%
-6.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
38%
+10.2pp
52%
BTTS No
62%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neman Grodno EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Gomel EU Bookmakers 15%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.62/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.64
-16% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +27%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neman Grodno
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Gomel
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 1-1 HT 0-1 Gomel Gomel BLR
31.03.2024 Gomel Gomel 2-3 HT 1-1 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
25.01.2024 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 1-0 HT 1-0 Gomel Gomel HAZ
22.08.2023 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 2-2 HT 0-1 Gomel Gomel BLR
09.04.2023 Gomel Gomel 3-3 HT 1-2 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
30.10.2022 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 3-0 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neman Grodno
0-1
AWAY Gomel
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Neman Grodno vs Gomel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gomel nicked a narrow win over Neman Grodno 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Neman Grodno carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Neman Grodno had 61% of the ball to Gomel's 39%, shots finished 17-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neman Grodno had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Neman Grodno and 1.33 for Gomel.

What was the final score of Neman Grodno vs Gomel?

Neman Grodno 0-1 Gomel in the Belarus - Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neman Grodno vs Gomel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neman Grodno win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Neman Grodno 58%, draw 25%, Gomel 17%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Neman Grodno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neman Grodno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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