Odense 1-0 AC Horsens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.9
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
31.5
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
10%
5.11
X/2
15%
7.21
X/X
12%
5.06
2/1
8%
23.75
2/2
14%
4.95
2/X
9%
13.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.5 — our 7% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+7.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odense EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 32%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +21%
1.00/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.42
+19% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +44%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
15.0 Crosses 19.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odense
3W-3D-0L
AWAY AC Horsens
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.57 xG 2.06
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
363 Passes 287
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 32
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Odense Odense 3-2 HT 2-1 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
14.09.2024 AC Horsens AC Horsens 2-2 HT 1-1 Odense Odense DAN1
26.05.2023 Odense Odense 2-1 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN
28.04.2023 AC Horsens AC Horsens 2-2 HT 1-1 Odense Odense DAN
13.11.2022 AC Horsens AC Horsens 3-3 HT 2-2 Odense Odense DAN
22.08.2022 Odense Odense 1-0 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odense
1-0
AWAY AC Horsens
1.48 xG 0.30
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
430 Passes 328
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Odense vs AC Horsens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odense edged past AC Horsens 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Odense made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Odense had 55% of the ball to AC Horsens's 45%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.48 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Odense had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Odense and 1.67 for AC Horsens.

What was the final score of Odense vs AC Horsens?

Odense 1-0 AC Horsens in the Denmark 1st Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odense vs AC Horsens?

Before kick-off our model rated a Odense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Odense 37%, draw 26%, AC Horsens 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Odense) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Odense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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