Angers 0-3 Rennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.74
Over 2.5
54%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.9
6+ Goals
11%
17.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.9 — our 28% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.66
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
6%
7.37
X/2
14%
4.79
X/X
12%
4.34
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
27%
2.9
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+2.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
54%
-7.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
46%
+7.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.5pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angers EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rennes EU Bookmakers 49%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.15/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.26
-8% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
18.3 Crosses 19.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angers
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Rennes
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.77 xG 1.63
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
314 Passes 480
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Rennes Rennes 2-0 HT 1-0 Angers Angers FR1
27.07.2024 Angers Angers 1-2 Rennes Rennes HAZ
27.07.2024 Rennes Rennes 2-1 HT 2-1 Angers Angers HAZ
30.04.2023 Rennes Rennes 4-2 HT 2-2 Angers Angers FR1
23.10.2022 Angers Angers 1-2 HT 0-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
06.03.2022 Rennes Rennes 2-0 HT 1-0 Angers Angers FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angers
0-3
AWAY Rennes
1.01 xG 1.54
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
345 Passes 535
84% Pass Accuracy 90%
27 Box Touches 26
28 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Angers vs Rennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rennes cruised past Angers 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rennes as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Angers had 42% of the ball to Rennes's 58%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.01 to 1.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rennes led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Angers and 2.33 for Rennes.

What was the final score of Angers vs Rennes?

Angers 0-3 Rennes in the France - Ligue 1 on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angers vs Rennes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Angers 25%, draw 27%, Rennes 48%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rennes), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rennes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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