Sagamihara 1-1 Kamatamare Sanuki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-6.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
1.01/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.29
-26% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
431 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.3 Crosses 19.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.07.2024 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 0-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
30.03.2024 Sagamihara Sagamihara 2-1 HT 1-0 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
05.08.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-0 HT 0-0 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
19.03.2023 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 1-0 HT 1-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
23.10.2022 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 2-2 HT 1-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
18.06.2022 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-1 HT 0-1 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
1-1
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
287 Passes 311
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Kamatamare Sanuki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara and Kamatamare Sanuki couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Sagamihara had 50% of the ball to Kamatamare Sanuki's 50%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sagamihara and 0.83 for Kamatamare Sanuki.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Kamatamare Sanuki?

Sagamihara 1-1 Kamatamare Sanuki in the Japan - J3 League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Kamatamare Sanuki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 35%, draw 31%, Kamatamare Sanuki 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sagamihara), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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