Stal Rzeszow vs Pogon Siedlce Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stal Rzeszow v Pogon Siedlce — Team-Based Signals
Stal Rzeszow vs Pogon Siedlce Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-4
HT 0-1
Stal Rzeszow
POL2
1-5
HT 0-1
Pogon Siedlce
POL2
0-2
HT 0-0
Stal Rzeszow
POL2
2-1
HT 2-0
Stal Rzeszow
POL2
Stal Rzeszow 2-4 Pogon Siedlce — Actual Match Statistics
Pogon Siedlce got the better of Stal Rzeszow 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Stal Rzeszow at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Stal Rzeszow had 54% of the ball to Pogon Siedlce's 46%, shots finished 10-27.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Stal Rzeszow and 1.80 for Pogon Siedlce.
What was the final score of Stal Rzeszow vs Pogon Siedlce?
Stal Rzeszow 2-4 Pogon Siedlce in the Poland - 1st Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stal Rzeszow vs Pogon Siedlce?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Rzeszow win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Stal Rzeszow 46%, draw 24%, Pogon Siedlce 30%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stal Rzeszow) went the other way.