Arka Gdynia 2-0 Miedz Legnica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.94
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.66
6+ Goals
10%
15.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.38/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.30
-9% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
459 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arka Gdynia
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Miedz Legnica
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2024 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 1-2 HT 1-1 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
30.03.2024 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 0-1 HT 0-1 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
26.09.2023 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 0-2 HT 0-2 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POLK
17.09.2023 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-1 HT 0-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
08.05.2022 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 0-2 HT 0-1 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
31.10.2021 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 1-0 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arka Gdynia
2-0
AWAY Miedz Legnica
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arka Gdynia vs Miedz Legnica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arka Gdynia got the better of Miedz Legnica 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arka Gdynia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Arka Gdynia had 51% of the ball to Miedz Legnica's 49%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arka Gdynia had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Arka Gdynia and 0.83 for Miedz Legnica.

What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Miedz Legnica?

Arka Gdynia 2-0 Miedz Legnica in the Poland - 1st Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Miedz Legnica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 47%, draw 26%, Miedz Legnica 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arka Gdynia), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arka Gdynia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
30 Mar 2025
13:00 Stal Stalowa Wola vs Nieciecza Analysis →
18:00 Stal Rzeszow vs Pogon Siedlce Analysis →