Korona Kielce 1-3 Radomiak Radom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.17
6+ Goals
10%
21.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.47
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
14%
5.17
X/2
7%
6.34
X/X
15%
4.05
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
16%
4.73
2/X
9%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -10%
1.52/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.49
-10% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
22.8 Crosses 18.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Korona Kielce
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.79 xG 1.14
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
209 Passes 258
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.09.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 4-0 HT 2-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
19.04.2024 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 4-0 HT 2-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
22.10.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-1 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
11.03.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-1 HT 1-1 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
27.08.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-2 HT 0-1 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
13.06.2021 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-0 HT 2-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Korona Kielce
1-3
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.15 xG 2.07
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
326 Passes 186
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 11
35 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomiak Radom got the better of Korona Kielce 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Korona Kielce at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Korona Kielce had 62% of the ball to Radomiak Radom's 38%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.15 to 2.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Korona Kielce had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Korona Kielce and 1.33 for Radomiak Radom.

What was the final score of Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom?

Korona Kielce 1-3 Radomiak Radom in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Korona Kielce win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Korona Kielce 42%, draw 28%, Radomiak Radom 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Korona Kielce) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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