Krasnodar vs Fakel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Krasnodar v Fakel — Team-Based Signals
Krasnodar vs Fakel Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Krasnodar
RUS
3-3
HT 1-2
Krasnodar
RUS
2-2
HT 2-1
Fakel
RUS
Krasnodar 5-0 Fakel — Actual Match Statistics
Krasnodar cruised past Fakel 5-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.
On the day, Krasnodar had 68% of the ball to Fakel's 32%, shots finished 23-13, expected goals 3.79 to 1.42.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Krasnodar had the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Krasnodar and 1.00 for Fakel.
What was the final score of Krasnodar vs Fakel?
Krasnodar 5-0 Fakel in the Russia - Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs Fakel?
Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 51%, draw 25%, Fakel 24%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.