Zenit St. Petersburg 4-0 Rubin Kazan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
3.3
6+ Goals
11%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 27% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.52
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
22.45
X/1
16%
3.66
X/2
8%
19.65
X/X
10%
7.04
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
6%
18.45
2/X
8%
27.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
73%
-13.3pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.7pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.7pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
2.30/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.57
+17% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +22%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
421 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
37.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
23.5 Crosses 11.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Rubin Kazan
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.00 xG 0.83
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
512 Passes 257
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUK
14.08.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-1 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
27.07.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-4 HT 0-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
24.04.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-2 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
17.09.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-3 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
28.02.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-2 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
4-0
AWAY Rubin Kazan
3.06 xG 0.19
71% Ball Possession 29%
24 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
550 Passes 185
88% Pass Accuracy 70%
48 Box Touches 6
33 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rubin Kazan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg ran out comfortable winners over Rubin Kazan 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 71% of the ball to Rubin Kazan's 29%, shots finished 24-5, expected goals 3.06 to 0.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.67 for Rubin Kazan.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rubin Kazan?

Zenit St. Petersburg 4-0 Rubin Kazan in the Russia - Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rubin Kazan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 59%, draw 23%, Rubin Kazan 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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