Boston River 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
35%
3.18
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.3pp
35%
Draw
28%
+7.5pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-7.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston River EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.14/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.07
+1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston River
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
23.06.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
16.03.2024 Boston River Boston River 1-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
29.11.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
28.04.2023 Boston River Boston River 1-3 HT 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
09.10.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-2 HT 1-1 Boston River Boston River URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston River
0-1
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boston River vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) edged past Boston River 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 35% / 36%) promised a tight game; Liverpool FC (Montevideo) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Boston River had 47% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 53%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Boston River and 1.83 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).

What was the final score of Boston River vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Boston River 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston River vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Boston River 29%, draw 35%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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30 Mar 2025
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