Lexington vs San Antonio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lexington v San Antonio — Team-Based Signals
Lexington 2-3 San Antonio — Actual Match Statistics
San Antonio squeezed past Lexington 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Lexington at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Lexington had 61% of the ball to San Antonio's 39%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.93 to 1.17 — on chances, Lexington could feel hard done by.
What was the final score of Lexington vs San Antonio?
Lexington 2-3 San Antonio in the USL Championship on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lexington vs San Antonio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lexington 41%, draw 29%, San Antonio 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.