Miami FC vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Miami FC v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
Miami FC vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
0-3
HT 0-1
Miami FC
USLP
Miami FC 0-1 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United squeezed past Miami FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had New Mexico United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Miami FC had 36% of the ball to New Mexico United's 64%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.11 to 0.97 — the balance of chances actually favoured Miami FC.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, New Mexico United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Miami FC and 0.67 for New Mexico United.
What was the final score of Miami FC vs New Mexico United?
Miami FC 0-1 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Miami FC vs New Mexico United?
Before kick-off our model rated an New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 24%, draw 29%, New Mexico United 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Mexico United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.