Miami FC vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Miami FC v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
Miami FC vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Miami FC 0-1 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United shaded a tight game against Miami FC 1-0 on their travels. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
True to our pre-match read, our model had New Mexico United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.
On the day, New Mexico United saw more of the ball, 64% to 36%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.11 to 0.97 — on chances, Miami FC could feel hard done by.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, New Mexico United led the recent series with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Miami FC against 0.67 for New Mexico United.
Miami FC vs New Mexico United Result & Final Score
Miami FC 0 - 1 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Miami FC vs New Mexico United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 21%, draw 24%, New Mexico United 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Mexico United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.