North Carolina 2-1 Charleston Battery — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 30 Mar 2025

North Carolina
2-1 HT 2-1
Charleston Battery
📅30/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2025

North Carolina vs Charleston Battery Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
31%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.77
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.87
6+ Goals
12%
17.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+8.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
39%
-8.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

North Carolina v Charleston Battery — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North Carolina EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.10/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.37
-23% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
12.3 Crosses 14.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

North Carolina vs Charleston Battery Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North Carolina
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Charleston Battery
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.06 xG 1.81
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
363 Passes 347
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.06.2024 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 5-2 HT 0-2 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
10.03.2024 North Carolina North Carolina 0-0 HT 0-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
20.08.2020 North Carolina North Carolina 0-3 HT 0-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
22.09.2019 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 2-1 HT 1-0 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
31.03.2019 North Carolina North Carolina 1-1 HT 0-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
27.09.2018 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 2-0 HT 0-0 North Carolina North Carolina USLP

North Carolina 2-1 Charleston Battery — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME North Carolina
2-1
AWAY Charleston Battery
0.51 xG 1.24
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
230 Passes 499
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH North Carolina vs Charleston Battery
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North Carolina nicked a narrow win over Charleston Battery 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had North Carolina as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, North Carolina had 35% of the ball to Charleston Battery's 65%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.51 to 1.24 — on chances, Charleston Battery could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charleston Battery led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for North Carolina and 2.17 for Charleston Battery.

What was the final score of North Carolina vs Charleston Battery?

North Carolina 2-1 Charleston Battery in the USL Championship on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North Carolina vs Charleston Battery?

Before kick-off our model rated a North Carolina win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split North Carolina 42%, draw 27%, Charleston Battery 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (North Carolina) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (North Carolina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
30 Mar 2025
02:00 Indy Eleven vs Colorado Springs Analysis →
02:00 Lexington vs San Antonio Analysis →
02:00 Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion Analysis →
02:00 Miami FC vs New Mexico United Analysis →
05:00 Oakland Roots vs Las Vegas Lights Analysis →
05:00 Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising Analysis →