Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterey Bay v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Phoenix Rising
USLP
1-1
HT 0-0
Monterey Bay
USLP
3-3
HT 3-2
Phoenix Rising
USLP
4-2
HT 4-0
Monterey Bay
USLP
Monterey Bay 3-1 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
Monterey Bay beat Phoenix Rising 3-1 in the USL Championship on 30 Mar 2025. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 42%.
On the day, Monterey Bay had 55% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 45%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.83 to 0.74.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monterey Bay and 1.83 for Phoenix Rising.
What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising?
Monterey Bay 3-1 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterey Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 42%, draw 26%, Phoenix Rising 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterey Bay) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.