Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Monterey Bay v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Monterey Bay 3-1 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
Monterey Bay got the better of Phoenix Rising 3-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Monterey Bay found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 53%.
Under the surface, possession split 55% to 45% in Monterey Bay's favour, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.83 to 0.74.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Monterey Bay against 1.83 for Phoenix Rising.
Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising Result & Final Score
Monterey Bay 3 - 1 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterey Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 40%, draw 28%, Phoenix Rising 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterey Bay), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.