Cwmbran Celtic 1-8 Trefelin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 30 Mar 2026

📅30/03/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
12.23
Draw
15%
7.13
Away
75%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
24%
X/X
4%
2/1
2%
2/2
43%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
5%
+5.1pp
15%
Draw
10%
+4.9pp
75%
Away Win
85%
-10.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.9pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Trefelin EU Bookmakers 91%
+25% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.80/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.00
-8% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% /
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
232 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cwmbran Celtic
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Trefelin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
13.03.2026 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 0-0 HT 0-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
22.08.2025 Trefelin Trefelin 4-0 HT 0-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
17.01.2025 Trefelin Trefelin 1-0 HT 1-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
10.08.2024 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-3 HT 0-3 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
17.04.2024 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 4-1 HT 3-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
23.09.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 1-2 HT 0-2 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Cwmbran Celtic vs Trefelin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trefelin ran out comfortable winners over Cwmbran Celtic 8-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Trefelin as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 8-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trefelin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cwmbran Celtic and 1.67 for Trefelin.

What was the final score of Cwmbran Celtic vs Trefelin?

Cwmbran Celtic 1-8 Trefelin in the Wales - FAW Championship on 30/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cwmbran Celtic vs Trefelin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Cwmbran Celtic 10%, draw 15%, Trefelin 75%. The final score 1-8 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trefelin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trefelin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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